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Prediction Markets
Kalshi Finds 'Widespread Evidence' of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections
A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics.
Does World Liberty Financial Count as Trump 'Launching a Coin'? Polymarket Bettors Are Divided
Plus, a look at how PoliFi tokens are doing compared to prediction markets; there might be another #election2024 up north.
Trump Leads Harris on Polymarket After Musk Endorsement, but Trails in This Key State
Elon Musk says prediction markets are more accurate than polls.
U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket's
With a month to go before Election Day, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have listed prediction markets on the race for the White House.
U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi Preps Presidential Prediction Markets After Re-Launching Congressional Contracts
Interactive Brokers' ForecastEx is also preparing presidential and Congressional contracts following the latest court defeat for the CFTC.
Trump Inches Closer to Harris on Polymarket as Betting Passes $1 Billion
Kamala Harris only leads by one percentage point on the prediction market, but is expected to carry most of the swing states.
Polymarket Reportedly Seeks $50M in Funding, Mulls Token as Election Bets Surge
The prediction market would use the potential token "as a way for users to validate the outcome of real-world events," the Information reported. It's unclear what that would mean for UMA, the oracle Polymarket uses.
Caroline Ellison Most Likely Won't Serve Time, Polymarket Traders Bet
Plus: the market is skeptical about Qualcomm's Intel deal; prediction markets were in vogue at Token2049 in Singapore.
Prediction Markets Go to Washington('s Appeals Court)
A federal appeals court will consider the CFTC's ongoing efforts to keep political prediction markets from launching.
U.S. Election Betting: CFTC, Kalshi Both Grilled by Judges in Appeals Court
The agency appealed a lower court's decision to let the firm offer prediction markets on which party will control each house of Congress. Crypto firms are watching the case.
