US Elections


Política

Kalshi lista contratos eleitorais há muito procurados após derrotar a CFTC no tribunal

Os contratos sobre qual partido controlará o Senado e a Câmara foram publicados na quinta-feira, logo após um juiz federal rejeitar a tentativa de última hora do regulador de bloqueá-los.

NEW YORK, NY - SEPTEMBER 10: Diners watch as Republican presidential candidate, former U.S. President Donald Trump, and Democratic presidential candidate, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris, debate for the first time during the presidential election campaign on September 10, 2024 at the Bar Tabac in New York City. After earning the Democratic Party nomination following President Joe Biden's decision to leave the race, Harris faced off with Trump in what may be the only debate of the 2024 race for the White House. (Photo by Robert Nickelsberg/Getty Images)

Análise de Notícias

Apostas nas eleições dos EUA: o que está em jogo no confronto final (?) CFTC-Kalshi

Veja como ouvir a audiência de quinta-feira no caso do tribunal federal sobre Mercados de previsão política, que está sendo observado de perto, e por que isso é importante.

WASHINGTON, DC - DECEMBER 01:  Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Rostin Behnam testifies about the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange company FTX before the Senate Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry Committee in the Dirksen Senate Office Building on Capitol Hill on December 01, 2022 in Washington, DC. In his first public comments since his business collapsed, Sam Bankman-Fried told the New York Times Wednesday that management and accounting failures were the reason for the collapse of his $32 billion company, which has sparked civil and criminal investigations. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Opinião

Cripto não é mencionada novamente no segundo debate presidencial

As chances de Cripto aparecer eram baixas. Ainda assim, teria sido legal.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Política

Harris venceu o debate presidencial dos EUA contra Trump, sugere a Polymarket Betting

As Cripto mais uma vez não foram mencionadas no segundo debate de 2024, o primeiro entre Kamala Harris e Donald Trump.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris (Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Mercados

Debate Trump-Harris: Polymarket mostra poucas chances de menção à Cripto

Os comerciantes veem apenas 17% de chance de Donald Trump dizer "Cripto" ou "Bitcoin" e apenas 13% para Kamala Harris.

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - SEPTEMBER 09: Final preparations are made in the spin room prior to the ABC News Presidential Debate on September 09, 2024 at the Convention Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump will face off in their first debate tomorrow evening at the Constitution Center. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Política

Mercados eleitorais dos EUA de Kalshi adiados para sexta-feira, no mínimo

O juiz do processo judicial do mercado de previsões contra a CFTC convocou uma audiência para quinta-feira sobre a moção do regulador por um atraso de duas semanas.

GREENSBURG, PENNSYLVANIA - AUGUST 21: Supporters of former President Donald Trump volunteer at a Republican Party booth at the the Westmoreland Fair, handing out lawn signs and registering voters, August 21, 2024 in rural Westmoreland County, Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania is deeply divided politically, with the urban centers at either end of the state supporting the Democratic Party, and large sections of the rural communities enthusiastic for a second Donald Trump victory.(Photo by Andrew Lichtenstein/Corbis via Getty Images)

Análise de Notícias

Kamala Harris vai ' WIN' o primeiro debate com Trump, apostam os comerciantes do Polymarket

Além disso, agora existem contratos de mercado de previsão sobre outros contratos de mercado de previsão.

DETROIT, MICHIGAN - SEPTEMBER 02: Flanked by labor union leaders, Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris speaks to union workers during a campaign event on September 02, 2024 at Northwestern High School in Detroit, Michigan. Harris is scheduled to host another event in Pennsylvania later in the day. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)

Política

Atraso nas apostas eleitorais dos EUA seria "devastador" para Kalshi, afirma empresa

O site de mercado de previsão "apostou seu futuro em ... esses Mercados", disse ele a um tribunal, rejeitando a moção da CFTC por uma espera de duas semanas.

Clock ticking

Política

CFTC apela ao juiz para bloquear os contratos eleitorais de Kalshi por 14 dias

A agência diz que T pode tomar "uma decisão informada" sobre apelar ou não da decisão do juiz em favor de Kalshi até saber sua justificativa, ainda não publicada.

DENVER, COLORADO - MARCH 5: An election judge holds "I Voted" stickers while collecting drive-thru ballots on March 5, 2024 outside the Highland Recreation Center in Denver, Colorado. 15 States and one U.S. Territory hold their primary elections on Super Tuesday, awarding more delegates than any other day in the presidential nominating calendar.  (Photo by Marc Piscotty/Getty Images)

Política

Kalshi autorizado a oferecer Mercados de previsão do Congresso em vitória contra a CFTC

Faltando dois meses para a eleição, a plataforma regulamentada pelos EUA agora pode obter uma fatia do sucesso das apostas políticas de 2024, que tem sido dominado pelo rival baseado em criptomoedas Polymarket.

ATLANTA, GEORGIA - MAY 21: A 'Wait Here To Vote' sign is seen in a polling location as cvoters check in to cast ballots on May 21, 2024 in Atlanta, Georgia. Among the races on the ballot in Fulton County are Scott McAfee, the Fulton County Superior Court Judge overseeing former president Donald Trump’s election interference criminal trial, and Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis, who is prosecuting the case. (Photo by Elijah Nouvelage/Getty Images)