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Polymarket
Trump's Odds of Victory Surge to 67% on Polymarket Post-Presidential Debate
Biden's chances at becoming the Democratic nominee also slid to 70%, while Gavin Newsom's odds jumped to 15%.

UPDATE: Polymarket Says It's 'Conclusive' Barron Trump Was Involved in $DJT
Nearly all UMA token holders voted that Donald Trump's son Barron was not likely involved in the DJT meme coin. Polymarket says UMA got it wrong.

Biden Likely to Win Popular Vote, but Lose Presidency, Prediction Market Signals
Plus: $DJT believers dispute the resolution of a Polymarket bet, insisting the "preponderance of evidence" shows Barron Trump's involvement.

Trump and Biden Likely Won't Shake Hands at Debate, Prediction Market Says
Meanwhile, there's a prediction market on whether the U.K. newspaper The Guardian will correct an article unflattering to prediction markets.

Will Trump Trounce Biden? Polymarket Traders Are Betting on It.
With a 56% chance of winning, according to the prediction market's traders, the former president has a 22-point lead over the incumbent, far bigger than what the polls indicate.

CZ Begins 4-Month Prison Sentence; Polymarket Bettors Doubt Trump Will Go to Prison
"CoinDesk Daily" host Helene Braun breaks down the biggest headlines impacting the crypto industry today, including Binance founder Changpeng "CZ" Zhao reporting to a federal prison in California for his 4-month sentence. Plus, Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison and Dapper Labs reached a tentative settlement agreement in its class action securities suit.

Trump Conviction Barely Dents His Odds of Winning Election: Prediction Markets
Plus: Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison; Kalshi bettors are at odds with the CME FedWatch poll on rate cuts.

TRUMP Token Sinks After Former U.S. President Is Found Guilty in New York
TRUMP dropped 35%, while Jeo Boden surged 20% in the aftermath.

Ether Surges 17%, Polymarket Approval Chances Rocket as ETF Makes Regulatory Progress
The U.S. SEC has asked exchanges to update 19b-4 filings for ether ETFs ahead of a key deadline, suggesting potential approval progress, though approval is not guaranteed.

Peter Thiel's Founders Fund, Vitalik Buterin Back $45M Investment in Polymarket
The series B funding round comes during a breakout year for the crypto-based prediction market platform, and brings its total funding well over $70 million.
