Polymarket


Markets

Trump's Odds of Victory Surge to 67% on Polymarket Post-Presidential Debate

Biden's chances at becoming the Democratic nominee also slid to 70%, while Gavin Newsom's odds jumped to 15%.

Trump-Biden debate (Screenshot)

Markets

UPDATE: Polymarket Says It's 'Conclusive' Barron Trump Was Involved in $DJT

Nearly all UMA token holders voted that Donald Trump's son Barron was not likely involved in the DJT meme coin. Polymarket says UMA got it wrong.

Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan (Polymarket)

News Analysis

Biden Likely to Win Popular Vote, but Lose Presidency, Prediction Market Signals

Plus: $DJT believers dispute the resolution of a Polymarket bet, insisting the "preponderance of evidence" shows Barron Trump's involvement.

MEXICO CITY, MEXICO - JANUARY 09: U.S. President Joe Biden looks on during a welcome ceremony as part of the '2023 North American Leaders' Summit at Palacio Nacional on January 09, 2023 in Mexico City, Mexico. President Lopez Obrador, USA President Joe Biden and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau gather in Mexico from January 9 to 11 as part of the 10th North American Leaders' Summit. The agenda includes topics on the climate change, immigration, trade and economic integration, security among others. (Photo by Hector Vivas/Getty Images)

Markets

Trump and Biden Likely Won't Shake Hands at Debate, Prediction Market Says

Meanwhile, there's a prediction market on whether the U.K. newspaper The Guardian will correct an article unflattering to prediction markets.

They didn't shake hands last time, but that was during the plague. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Markets

Will Trump Trounce Biden? Polymarket Traders Are Betting on It.

With a 56% chance of winning, according to the prediction market's traders, the former president has a 22-point lead over the incumbent, far bigger than what the polls indicate.

(Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Videos

CZ Begins 4-Month Prison Sentence; Polymarket Bettors Doubt Trump Will Go to Prison

"CoinDesk Daily" host Helene Braun breaks down the biggest headlines impacting the crypto industry today, including Binance founder Changpeng "CZ" Zhao reporting to a federal prison in California for his 4-month sentence. Plus, Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison and Dapper Labs reached a tentative settlement agreement in its class action securities suit.

CoinDesk placeholder image

News Analysis

Trump Conviction Barely Dents His Odds of Winning Election: Prediction Markets

Plus: Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison; Kalshi bettors are at odds with the CME FedWatch poll on rate cuts.

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MAY 28: Former U.S. President Donald Trump sits in court during his trial for allegedly covering up hush money payments at Manhattan Criminal Court on May 28, 2024 in New York City. Donald Trump arrived for closing arguments in his hush money trial ahead of the jury deciding whether to make him the first criminally convicted former president and current White House hopeful in history. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

Markets

TRUMP Token Sinks After Former U.S. President Is Found Guilty in New York

TRUMP dropped 35%, while Jeo Boden surged 20% in the aftermath.

Trump arrives at an NFT dinner in May 2024. (Danny Nelson/CoinDesk)

Markets

Ether Surges 17%, Polymarket Approval Chances Rocket as ETF Makes Regulatory Progress

The U.S. SEC has asked exchanges to update 19b-4 filings for ether ETFs ahead of a key deadline, suggesting potential approval progress, though approval is not guaranteed.

(CoinDesk Indices)

Finance

Peter Thiel's Founders Fund, Vitalik Buterin Back $45M Investment in Polymarket

The series B funding round comes during a breakout year for the crypto-based prediction market platform, and brings its total funding well over $70 million.

Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan (Polymarket)