Prediction Markets

Biden ultrapassa VP Harris como candidato democrata mais provável no Polymarket durante entrevista coletiva do presidente (atualização)

O presidente disse que planeja permanecer na disputa, mas "é importante acalmar os medos".

Автор Marc Hochstein11 лип. 2024 р.

The first portrait of Joe Biden as president of the United States, 2021. (The White House)

Chances do senador JD Vance, favorável à criptomoeda, como vice-presidente de Trump, dobram na Polymarket

Os traders no mercado de previsão baseado em criptomoedas agora veem uma chance de 29% de que o republicano de Ohio seja o companheiro de chapa do ex-presidente Trump, acima dos 14% de uma semana atrás.

Автор Helene Braun8 лип. 2024 р.

Sen. JD Vance, right, with former U.S. President Donald Trump (Drew Angerer/Getty images)

Аналіз Новин

Os Mercados de previsão e as pesquisas erraram nas eleições francesas

Além disso: os traders do Polymarket continuam céticos sobre a insistência de Biden em permanecer na corrida presidencial dos EUA; o ETH cairá para US$ 2.630?

Автор Sam Reynolds8 лип. 2024 р.

PARIS, FRANCE - JULY 07: People are seen celebrating on the statue of Marianne on the Place de la Republique to celebrate after the Nouveau Front Populaire, an alliance of left wing parties including the far-left wing party, La France Insoumise came in first on July 07, 2024 in Paris, France. The National Rally party was expected to have a strong showing in the second round of France's legislative election, which was called by the French president last month after his party performed poorly in the European election, but first projections have shown an unexpected lead for French left wing alliance New Popular Front. (Photo by Remon Haazen/Getty Images)

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As probabilidades de Biden no Polymarket mudaram pouco após a entrevista da ABC TV

As chances de reeleição do presidente estavam em 11% e sua probabilidade de desistir estava em torno de 64%, de acordo com traders na plataforma de previsão de mercado baseada em criptomoedas.

Автор Marc Hochstein6 лип. 2024 р.

MADISON, WISONSIN - JULY 05: (EDITOR’S NOTE: This Handout image was provided by a third-party organization and may not adhere to Getty Images’ editorial policy.) In this handout photo provided by ABC, U.S. President Joe Biden speaks with 'This Week' anchor George Stephanopoulos on July 05, 2024 in Madison, Wisconsin. The president sat down with Stephanopoulos while on the campaign trail in Wisconsin, a few days after a debate with former President Donald Trump. (Photo by ABC via Getty Images)

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As chances de Biden desistir aumentam para quase 80% no Polymarket após reportagem do New York Times

No início do dia, a porcentagem era de apenas 55%.

Автор Danny Nelson3 лип. 2024 р.

ATLANTA, GEORGIA - JUNE 27: U.S. President Joe Biden participates in the CNN Presidential Debate at the CNN Studios on June 27, 2024 in Atlanta, Georgia. President Biden and Republican presidential candidate, former U.S. President Donald Trump are facing off in the first presidential debate of the 2024 campaign. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

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As chances de Kamala Harris ganhar a nomeação democrata aumentam no Polymarket

Os apoiadores estão pedindo que o vice-presidente se manifeste após o fiasco do debate do chefe Biden.

Автор Marc Hochstein2 лип. 2024 р.

COLLEGE PARK, MARYLAND - JUNE 24: U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris delivers remarks on reproductive rights at Ritchie Coliseum on the campus of the University of Maryland on June 24, 2024 in College Park, Maryland. Harris is speaking on the two year anniversary of the Dobbs decision, the Supreme Court ruling that overturned Roe v. Wade and struck down federal abortion protections. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Аналіз Новин

ATUALIZAÇÃO: Polymarket registra os primeiros US$ 100 milhões mensais enquanto o drama eleitoral esquenta

Os erros do presidente Biden durante o debate da semana passada são o fator mais recente que impulsiona o volume no mercado de previsões baseado em criptomoedas.

Автор Sam Reynolds1 лип. 2024 р.

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ATUALIZAÇÃO: Polymarket diz que é "conclusivo" que Barron Trump estava envolvido no $DJT

Quase todos os detentores de tokens UMA votaram que o filho de Donald Trump, Barron, provavelmente não estava envolvido na moeda meme DJT. Polymarket diz que UMA errou.

Автор Sam Reynolds27 черв. 2024 р.

Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan (Polymarket)

Аналіз Новин

Biden provavelmente WIN o voto popular, mas perderá a presidência, prevê sinais de mercado

Além disso: os crentes do $DJT contestam a resolução de uma aposta da Polymarket, insistindo que a "preponderância de evidências" mostra o envolvimento de Barron Trump.

Автор Marc Hochstein, Shaurya Malwa24 черв. 2024 р.

MEXICO CITY, MEXICO - JANUARY 09: U.S. President Joe Biden looks on during a welcome ceremony as part of the '2023 North American Leaders' Summit at Palacio Nacional on January 09, 2023 in Mexico City, Mexico. President Lopez Obrador, USA President Joe Biden and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau gather in Mexico from January 9 to 11 as part of the 10th North American Leaders' Summit. The agenda includes topics on the climate change, immigration, trade and economic integration, security among others. (Photo by Hector Vivas/Getty Images)

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Mercado de previsões diz que Trump e Biden provavelmente T apertarão as mãos no debate

Enquanto isso, há um mercado de previsões sobre se o jornal britânico The Guardian corrigirá um artigo que não é favorável aos Mercados de previsões.

Автор Sam Reynolds17 черв. 2024 р.

They didn't shake hands last time, but that was during the plague. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

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