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Robinhood's Surprise Earnings Beat Despite Trading Lull Could be Positive for Coinbase

The trading platform’s results could give an indication for Coinbase’s earnings on May 8.

Robinhood shares could benefit from SEC dropping Coinbase case. (Shutterstock)
Robinhood Q1 results (Shutterstock)

What to know:

  • Robinhood's first-quarter results topped both- top and bottom-line estimates.
  • The platform did see a decline revenue from the fourth quarter as markets cooled during the first three months of the year.
  • Analysts expect Coinbase to report a smaller dip in volume, underscoring a possible divergence in user behavior between major retail platforms.

Robinhood (HOOD) topped tempered analyst estimates in the first quarter of 2025, reporting adjusted earnings per share of $0.37 against forecasts for $0.33.

The popular trading platform reported $927 million in total revenue, down from $1 billion in the fourth-quarter, but beating Street expectations of $920.1 million. Crypto-related revenue was $252 million, up 100% from year-ago levels.

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Transaction-based revenue of $583 million slipped 13% from $672 million in the fourth quarter.

Robinhood had seen explosive numbers in the fourth quarter, in part thanks to a surge in crypto trading amid euphoria stemming from U.S. President Donald Trump’s presidential win. But the froth in crypto and traditional markets quickly reversed following Trump's inauguration.

The company added $500 million to its existing $1 billion share repurchase program. To date, HOOD has bought back $667 million, leaving another $833 million under the authorization.

Robinhood’s monthly crypto volumes have historically shown a high correlation with Coinbase’s (COIN) retail volumes. Still, Barclays analyst Benjamin Buddish believes that COIN will have seen a less meaningful decline in trading volumes in the first quarter.

Coinbase is reporting earnings on May 8 and is expected to post a slight decline in revenue to $2.1 billion from $2.27 billion in the previous quarter, while exchange volume is expected to have dropped to $403.8 billion from $439 billion, according to analysts at FactSet.

HOOD shares are down 2.2% in after-hours action.

Read more: Robinhood Crypto Revenue Expected to Fall in Q1 After Record Late 2024 Gain: JPMorgan

Helene Braun

Helene is a New York-based markets reporter at CoinDesk, covering the latest news from Wall Street, the rise of the spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds and updates on crypto markets. She is a graduate of New York University's business and economic reporting program and has appeared on CBS News, YahooFinance and Nasdaq TradeTalks. She holds BTC and ETH.

Helene Braun