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Bitcoin Price Could Reach $45K by Christmas: Matrixport

When bitcoin’s performance is positive in January, the rally tends to continue through to the end of the year, the report said.

U.S. institutions have probably been behind January’s rally in bitcoin (BTC), when the cryptocurrency gained more than 38%. An outperformance this early in the year tends to be bullish for the token’s price, crypto services provider Matrixport said in a research report Wednesday.

In five of the six years that bitcoin has rallied in January, the cryptocurrency has ended the year with positive returns. On average, the gain the rest of the year has been more than 245%, wrote Markus Thielen, head of research.

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The only year when bitcoin declined after a strong January was 2014, when prices had just made a bull-market peak, the note said.

Matrixport says the driver of the 2023 bull market could be the expected March 2024 bitcoin halving cycle, when the amount of the cryptocurrency entering the system every 10 minutes drops by 50%. Therefore, there is a high statistical probability that the bitcoin price could double from here until year end, the report said.

This means the bitcoin price could reach $45,000 by Christmas, the report added.

Read more: First Mover Asia: Lido DAO Governance Token Down, Staked Ether Stable, as Withdrawal Proposal Comes Into Focus; Bitcoin Rises as Fed Rate Decision Nears

Will Canny

Will Canny is an experienced market reporter with a demonstrated history of working in the financial services industry. He's now covering the crypto beat as a finance reporter at CoinDesk. He owns more than $1,000 of SOL.

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